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Grouper
 
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TURTLE (8/14/2008)
I'm just put'n this out there for anyone who is in need, I sell good home owners insurance.850-862-8644 Gulfside insurance inc.And any other kind , like boat.I saw your avatar and thought where have I seen that before. Look up and it is the pix on my calander for this month.
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White Marlin
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weatherman (8/15/2008)
Well, this one is going to bear watching, the upper level low has outrun this system and the high is going to build back in. My favorite model for the tropics has this system slowly moving WNW not doing much and then making a beeline into the Gulf between FL and Cuba on the 21st. Then intensifying in the Gulf into a Cat I or II system making landfall on the border of TX and LA on the morning of the 27th. Looks like 20-30 mph for us on the 23rd to 24th for this slow moving system.The long range European models were calling for a Northern GOM landfall a couple of days ago. The GFDL does not even intitialize the storm in the right location, so you can really throw that one out the window till the storm actually developes more. And the other models are shifting back to the west more and more. Somehow I do see this one wobbling through as a depression and making it's way into the gulf. From there it's anyone's guess right now. The thing is, we need the storm to actually develope before the models get a good grip on it.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "H2O: 2 parts hydrogen 1 part obsession." The user formerly known as Knot a Yacht Jon
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Grouper
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White Marlin
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| Yep AU, I don't like the way the models keep shifting our way recently. But they have been flip flopping over the last few days. But this is the first time they have put it in the gulf and coming anywhere near us.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "H2O: 2 parts hydrogen 1 part obsession." The user formerly known as Knot a Yacht Jon
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Grouper
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| way to early to tell by models at this point. But what I seem to notice is you can kind of look at the trend of the movements of the models to get some better idea. In other words, if the models tend to shift west over period of times, that thats a good indicition. The models have been shifting west over the past couple of days now. be interesting to see what happens. sounds like conditions are riping for use. Jet stream should shift north and we have no shear. Bad news for GOM
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Trigger
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| I like the NHC's forecast right now. Keeps it over landmass and keeps it below Cat 1 strength. If the track shifts west, uh oh. 
Donny Hanto War Eagle!!! Team Kickin Assphalt
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Mingo
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| Dang-it. Well just as good time as any to | | | |